Best bets for Monday Night Football: New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs
ESPN PLUS $ MATERIALThe Kansas City Chiefs will host the New York Giants to wrap up Week 8 on Monday Night Football (8:15 ET on ESPN).
ESPN betting analysts Eric Moody and Anita Marks and ESPN analytics' Seth Walder team up to offer their best bets.
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook as of Sunday, unless otherwise noted.
New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 52)
Moody: Against the Panthers, Daniel Jones completed 23 of 33 passes for 203 yards and a touchdown. Jones also ran for 28 yards. He had a productive day in spite of the Giants' injury woes at wide receiver. This season, Jones has averaged 246.7 passing yards and 32.7 rushing yards per game. To upset the Chiefs, he will have to rely heavily on his dual-threat ability. Kansas City's defense has been a boon for opposing quarterbacks. Ryan Tannehill, Taylor Heinicke, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Justin Herbert averaged 287 passing yards against them over the past five games.
Last week, Demarcus Robinson caught 1 of 4 targets for 7 yards. The week before, he caught 3 of 6 targets for 46 yards and a touchdown. In those games, Robinson led the Chiefs in routes run. He is averaging 12.1 yards per reception this season.
Tyreek Hill has averaged 91.6 receiving yards per game this season. It was his massive receiving performances in Week 1 (197) and Week 4 (186), however, that have bolstered this average. In Week 8, Hill should see the majority of his snaps against slot cornerback Darnay Holmes. This is an excellent matchup.
Picks: Jones over 241 passing yards (-115), Jones over 21.5 rushing yards (-110), Robinson over 14.5 receiving yards (-120), Hill over 79.5 receiving yards (-115)
Walder: Take a look at the comparison between receiving yards props for Chiefs players and their expected receiving yards per game this season, based on completion probability, air yards and expected YAC on targets from NFL Next Gen Stats.
- Hill: 79 expected receiving yards per game. Sunday's over/under is 79.5.
- Travis Kelce: 79 expected receiving yards per game. Sunday's over/under is 78.5.
- Mecole Hardman: 38 expected receiving yards per game. Sunday's over/under is 38.5.
- Demarcus Robinson: 28.5 expected receiving yards per game. Sunday's over/under is 14.5.
Pick: Robinson over 14.5 receiving yards (-120)
Marks: The Giants are 23-7 in their last 30 games as a road dog. Jones is expected to get both Sterling Shepard and Kadarius Toney back on offense this week. The Chiefs' defense is one of the worst in the NFL (ranked 29th against the run and 31st against the pass). They have only eight sacks on the season, so Jones should have all day in the pocket. On the other side of the ball, Patrick Mahomes has been a turnover machine, helping contribute to the Chiefs' 17 turnovers this season. Meanwhile, the Giants have had a takeaway in nine straight games.
Picks: Giants +10, Giants money line (+400), Giants team total over 20.5 (-110), Jones over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+115), Jones over 21.5 rushing yards (-110), Devontae Booker over 52.5 rushing yards (-115)
